A forecast is a promise with a date
We publish our own forecast error every quarter. If a number in Ledgerly can't be checked, it doesn't ship.
About
We built the tool we needed at 2 a.m. on a Thursday.
Ledgerly started in 2023, in the week three of a funding process that didn't close. Two ex-founders and one ex-auditor kept rebuilding the same runway spreadsheet and kept catching it lying. The product is what's left after you stop trusting the spreadsheet: evidence tiers, published error, and no ability whatsoever to touch the money.
Our forecast error, published quarterly
Median absolute error of 13-week forecasts across live workspaces, per quarter. We report it even when it goes up (Q2 25; it went up). A company that can't publish its own number has no business forecasting yours.
6.2%Q3 24
5.4%Q4 24
4.8%Q1 25
5.1%Q2 25
4%Q3 25
3.6%Q4 25
3.4%Q1 26
3.3%Q2 26
3.1%Q3 26
No dark patterns, no annual hostage-taking
Cancel in one click, export everything in open formats. Your cash history is yours, not our retention metric.
Built by people who felt the cliff
Three founders, all of whom have stared at a runway at 2 a.m. That feeling is the product spec.
Changelog
Shipped work, dated, in public. The full log lives inside every workspace — this is the part customers vote on.
Sep 2026
Scenario diffs
Side-by-side scenario comparison with a printable one-page diff.
Jul 2026
Payroll modelling
Gusto and Deel loads flow into forecasts automatically, including contractor FX.
Apr 2026
Evidence tiers
Inflows tagged contracted / recurring / hoped-for, filterable on every chart.
Jan 2026
Warehouse export
Scale plans can mirror every figure into Snowflake nightly.
We're hiring three people.
Nine-person team, profitable since 2025, no series B because we don't need one yet. Roles as they come out of the roadmap, not before it.